FPL price changes tonight — predicted risers & fallers
FPL prices change once per day, overnight, driven by how many managers transfer a player in or out. OneFPL predicts tonight's risers and fallers throughout the day — each ranked by transfer momentum with a confidence tier — so you can transfer in a riser before it goes up and sell a faller before it drops.
How FPL price changes work
- Prices move in 0.1m steps, up or down, once per day overnight (~01:30–02:30 UK).
- A rise or fall is triggered when net transfers cross a moving threshold tied to ownership.
- When you sell a player for more than you paid, FPL takes a 50% sell-on fee on the profit (rounded down).
- Wildcard and Free Hit transfers distort the raw counts — a good predictor discounts them.
How to use price predictions
- Check the predicted risers and fallers and their confidence tier.
- If a transfer you already planned is about to rise, do it early to lock in the price.
- Sell flagged or benched players who are predicted to fall, to protect your team value.
- Plan the moves ahead in the transfer planner.
Prices are an edge, not a strategy — always prioritise points and form over a 0.1m rise, and use fixture difficulty to time your transfers.
FAQ
When do FPL prices change?
FPL prices change once per day, overnight, usually around 01:30–02:30 UK time. A player's price rises or falls in 0.1m steps based on how many managers transfer them in versus out. OneFPL predicts the next set of changes throughout the day so you can act before they happen.
How are FPL price changes predicted?
OneFPL runs a research-backed algorithm that tracks net transfers for every player against the thresholds needed for a rise or fall, adjusting for chip usage and flags. Each prediction carries a confidence tier, so you know how likely a player is to change price before the nightly update.
Should I transfer a player in before a price rise?
If you were already planning the transfer, doing it before a predicted rise locks in the lower price and grows your team value. Never buy a player only for a 0.1m rise, though — value is a small edge, and selling later can incur a 50% sell-on fee on the profit. Player performance matters far more.
Does OneFPL show fallers as well as risers?
Yes. OneFPL ranks both predicted risers and fallers each day. Watching fallers helps you sell a flagged or benched player before a drop so you don't lose team value, which matters most during injuries, suspensions and rotation.