FPL prices change once per day, overnight, driven by how many managers transfer a player in or out. This guide explains when prices move, what triggers a rise or fall, and how the sell-on fee affects your selling price. Once you understand the mechanics, you can see tonight's predicted risers and fallers in the live tool.
Prices are an edge, not a strategy - always prioritise points and form over a 0.1m rise, and use fixture difficulty to time your transfers.
FPL prices change once per day, overnight, usually around 01:30–02:30 UK time. A player's price rises or falls in 0.1m steps based on how many managers transfer them in versus out. OneFPL predicts the next set of changes throughout the day so you can act before they happen.
OneFPL runs a research-backed algorithm that tracks net transfers for every player against the thresholds needed for a rise or fall, adjusting for chip usage and flags. Each prediction carries a confidence tier, so you know how likely a player is to change price before the nightly update.
If you were already planning the transfer, doing it before a predicted rise locks in the lower price and grows your team value. Never buy a player only for a 0.1m rise, though - value is a small edge, and selling later can incur a 50% sell-on fee on the profit. Player performance matters far more.
Yes. OneFPL ranks both predicted risers and fallers each day. Watching fallers helps you sell a flagged or benched player before a drop so you don't lose team value, which matters most during injuries, suspensions and rotation.