Major update — 12 October 2026. Barry scored again in GW6, but the more important story is what happened around the goal.
He missed four big chances. Only Haaland has a higher expected-goals tally this season, and Barry is underperforming his xG by around 1.4 goals.
The goal threat
Barry has now scored in consecutive league matches.
Before GW6, official FPL already had him on eight big chances and 16 shots in the box. The new chance volume only strengthens the case.
Four big chances missed
Finishing quality matters, but managers usually prefer a player missing big chances over a player never receiving them.
The first can improve.
The second is much harder to fix.
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Price
At £5.7m, Barry does not need Haaland-level finishing.
He needs enough conversion to justify being a cheap starting forward.
The current opportunity volume is comfortably strong enough.
Barry vs Garcia
Barry: better xG, more big chances, stronger individual threat.
Garcia: better short-term fixtures.
Barry vs Wissa
Wissa may offer a stronger team environment.
Barry offers outstanding value if the chances continue.
OneFPL verdict
BUY / HOLD.
Do not sell because he missed chances.
The misses are frustrating, but the opportunity volume is exactly what we want.
FAQ
Is Barry a good FPL buy?
Yes. Only Haaland has a higher expected-goals tally and Barry continues to receive elite big-chance volume for his price.
Should I worry about four big chances missed?
The finishing is a concern, but repeatedly receiving big chances is still a positive underlying signal.
Is he better than Garcia?
Barry has the stronger goal-threat profile; Garcia has the cleaner short-term Fulham fixture run.
Barry's finishing: real concern or variance?
A forward can underperform xG for two reasons:
- normal short-term variance;
- genuinely poor finishing.
Six Gameweeks is still a small sample.
That is why managers should keep watching whether Barry's conversion begins moving toward league-average levels.
Captaincy?
Not yet.
Barry's chance volume is captain-level impressive, but the team and price profile make him more useful as a value forward than an armband option.
Wildcard role
Barry is ideal when you want:
- Haaland;
- premium midfield;
- better defence;
- a forward who still has real goal volume.
He is much more attractive than a cheap forward who saves money but rarely shoots.
What would make us sell?
The sell case changes if:
- starts are threatened;
- big chances drop sharply;
- Everton's attack declines;
- a similarly priced forward produces the same volume with better fixtures.
Until then, missed chances are not enough to abandon the pick.